Pre-tourney Rankings
Old Dominion
Conference USA
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.5#122
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#80
Pace62.7#322
Improvement-1.6#261

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#222
First Shot-3.5#279
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#49
Layup/Dunks-2.7#276
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#80
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#215
Freethrows-1.4#279
Improvement-1.3#253

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#50
First Shot+3.3#77
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#26
Layups/Dunks+2.4#73
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#56
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#234
Freethrows+0.5#151
Improvement-0.3#203
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round9.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 0.01.0 - 0.0
Quad 22.0 - 2.03.0 - 2.0
Quad 311.0 - 6.014.0 - 8.0
Quad 412.0 - 0.026.0 - 8.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 281   Navy W 67-44 89%     1 - 0 +13.3 -4.1 +19.2
  Nov 09, 2018 174   @ Saint Joseph's L 64-79 56%     1 - 1 -13.0 -6.9 -6.6
  Nov 16, 2018 85   Oregon St. L 56-61 41%     1 - 2 +0.9 -9.9 +10.2
  Nov 17, 2018 340   Kennesaw St. W 65-47 94%     2 - 2 +3.7 -13.0 +16.9
  Nov 19, 2018 164   Northern Iowa L 53-54 64%     2 - 3 -1.3 -10.8 +9.3
  Nov 23, 2018 164   Northern Iowa W 72-65 74%     3 - 3 +3.9 +5.2 -0.7
  Nov 28, 2018 44   Virginia Commonwealth W 62-52 33%     4 - 3 +17.9 +2.8 +15.9
  Dec 01, 2018 267   James Madison W 67-42 88%     5 - 3 +16.0 -4.4 +23.1
  Dec 05, 2018 209   William & Mary W 71-53 80%     6 - 3 +12.6 -1.5 +15.1
  Dec 09, 2018 291   Fairfield W 79-69 90%     7 - 3 -0.3 +7.1 -6.9
  Dec 15, 2018 33   @ Syracuse W 68-62 15%     8 - 3 +20.5 +6.4 +14.4
  Dec 19, 2018 184   @ Richmond W 63-54 58%     9 - 3 +10.3 -3.2 +14.7
  Dec 22, 2018 338   Morgan St. W 76-53 96%     10 - 3 +6.3 -4.8 +10.7
  Jan 03, 2019 171   Marshall L 67-70 75%     10 - 4 0 - 1 -6.4 +1.5 -8.5
  Jan 05, 2019 117   Western Kentucky W 69-66 59%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +4.1 +0.2 +4.0
  Jan 10, 2019 165   @ Florida Atlantic L 73-80 55%     11 - 5 1 - 2 -4.7 +11.7 -17.0
  Jan 12, 2019 210   @ Florida International W 75-74 63%     12 - 5 2 - 2 +1.1 -3.2 +4.3
  Jan 17, 2019 144   Louisiana Tech W 64-63 67%     13 - 5 3 - 2 -0.2 -6.5 +6.4
  Jan 19, 2019 109   Southern Miss W 76-62 57%     14 - 5 4 - 2 +15.5 +12.9 +4.2
  Jan 21, 2019 287   @ Charlotte W 76-70 77%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +1.7 +5.7 -3.8
  Jan 24, 2019 290   @ UTEP W 50-48 78%     16 - 5 6 - 2 -2.6 -17.0 +14.6
  Jan 26, 2019 148   @ Texas San Antonio L 73-74 48%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +3.0 -2.4 +5.5
  Jan 31, 2019 161   North Texas W 72-61 73%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +8.1 +4.1 +4.5
  Feb 02, 2019 251   Rice W 80-76 86%     18 - 6 8 - 3 -4.1 +3.9 -7.9
  Feb 07, 2019 147   @ UAB W 70-59 47%     19 - 6 9 - 3 +15.2 +10.8 +6.3
  Feb 09, 2019 239   @ Middle Tennessee W 55-50 69%     20 - 6 10 - 3 +3.3 -7.3 +11.4
  Feb 16, 2019 287   Charlotte W 73-60 89%     21 - 6 11 - 3 +3.1 +0.1 +3.5
  Feb 23, 2019 117   Western Kentucky W 67-63 59%     22 - 6 12 - 3 +5.1 +3.6 +1.9
  Feb 28, 2019 148   @ Texas San Antonio W 65-64 48%     23 - 6 13 - 3 +5.0 -6.9 +11.9
  Mar 06, 2019 109   Southern Miss L 52-59 57%     23 - 7 13 - 4 -5.5 -12.4 +5.9
  Mar 09, 2019 147   @ UAB L 50-64 47%     23 - 8 13 - 5 -9.8 -18.3 +7.5
  Mar 14, 2019 144   Louisiana Tech W 57-56 57%     24 - 8 +2.6 -8.2 +10.9
  Mar 15, 2019 147   UAB W 61-59 58%     25 - 8 +3.4 +1.2 +2.6
  Mar 16, 2019 117   Western Kentucky W 62-56 49%     26 - 8 +9.8 -3.2 +13.4
Projected Record 26.0 - 8.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.4 5.4 46.8 47.5 0.3
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.4 5.4 46.8 47.5 0.3